Honest opinion on XG?
I personally like it as a stat to view the difficulty of chances created and can at times show a good review of a match.
However I do not view teams underpreforming the metric as teams waiting to go on a run and the goals will come as some experts try to say.
On the other side for teams overpreforming, I hate when people say that can't last. We have seen it with Aston Villa and Hull last season, Sometimes certain teams just have a few players that are good at long shots that have a smaller XG but it doesn't mean they don't deserve to be winning those games or that they will all of a sudden stop scoring those type of goals.
TLDR its a nice stat to look at but people using it to say Stoke and Swansea are actually playing like a bottom half team and getting lucky or Norwich deserve to be around the playoffs are just using the metric wrong.
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